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Saturday 23 November 2013

Nairobi’s multi-millionaires to double by 2020, says audit

By JOSHUA MASINDE
 Saturday, November 23, 2013
In Summary
The number of multi-millionaires in Nairobi is set to increase by more than half in the next seven years, outpacing growth in some of the most developed countries in the world.
This trend follows the growth of Africa’s super-rich, with statistics showing that the region’s segment of high-net-worth individuals grew by 9.9 per cent in 2012, the second-highest in the world after North America, and above the global average of 9.2 per cent.
According to the latest World Wealth Report by the consulting firm Capgemini, the number of dollar millionaires (people with a net worth over $1 million (about Sh85 million) in Nairobi is expected to increase 62 per cent to over 8,000 from about 5,000 currently by 2020.
This trend will be driven by prospects of economic growth following planned heavy investment in infrastructure and discovery of oil. Such growth is set to drive up consumption of luxury products like alcohol, apparel, jewellery, household appliances, among others.
PHOTO | FILE The number of multi-millionaires in Nairobi is set to increase by more than half in the next seven years, outpacing growth in some of the most developed countries in the world.Johannesburg, South Africa’s commercial capital, now has 23,400 dollar millionaires, the highest in Africa, according to UK-based New World Wealth, an information provider on the wealth sector in Africa. Lagos, Nigeria’s largest city, hosts almost 10,000 such millionaires, with Cape Town reportedly hosting around 9,000.
According to Euromonitor International — a London-based market intelligence firm — the wealthiest class in African countries is set to grow significantly in the period, with Kenya’s Social Class ‘A’, the rich or high income class category, projected to grow 28 per cent by 2020.
The growing list of the wealthy in Kenya and other African countries is expected to drive the consumption levels of luxury products. Kenya is, for instance, amongst the fastest growing markets in the world for whisky, with official exports of Scotch rising by 73 per cent between 2010 and 2011.
Leading distillery companies, like UK brewer Diageo, have also performed particularly well, with premium brands like Johnnie Walker recording immense growth.
UNIQUE LUXURY CULTURE
The development of a unique luxury culture underlies much of the growth of the wealth class in Kenya and other African countries.
The culture of shopping overseas amongst the African wealthy class may, however, be a disincentive for luxury retailers in respective African countries as many travel to places like New York or European cities such as London and Paris to shop.
Nigerians are, for instance, the fourth largest foreign spenders in the UK, using an average of £500 (Sh69,292) in the high-end shops they frequent.
The main reason that could be holding back such brands from attracting the growing class of the wealthy on the continent is the region’s underdeveloped real estate infrastructure, due to the absence of noticeably high-end shopping suburbs and shopping malls.
According to a recent Mobile Life survey, increased growth in wealth has turned Kenya into an image-conscious market, with the explosion in social media usage enabling people to talk about brands like never before.
By 2020, three out of four people will have an average age of 20. The survey shows Africa’s youthful demographics augur well for the future luxury market.
Around 65 per cent of Africa’s population is under 35 years, according to the Youth Division of the African Union Commission.
The survey indicates that four in 10 mobile users are using social media to ask for product advice and recommendations while 25 per cent frequently post links to items they want or plan to buy

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